An Analysis of the Exchange Rate Volatility in Poland using the GARCH, GJR-GARCH and EGARCH Models
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper employs the symmetric GARCH and asymmetric GJR-GARCH(1,1) E-GARCH(1,1) models to explain dynamics of PLN/EUR PLN/USD exchange rates in Poland for periods January 2015 July 2022. The result our study shows that USD rate is more susceptible market fluctuations events than EUR rate. Additionally, both rates' volatility persists after a crisis while, with taking longer until subsides. Using Akaike information criterion Bayesian criterion, we find E-GARCH model be best out all three considered.
منابع مشابه
Approximating the GJR-GARCH and EGARCH Option Pricing Models Analytically
In Duan, Gauthier and Simonato (1999), an analytical approximate formula for European options in the GARCH framework was developed. The formula is however restricted to the nonlinear asymmetric GARCH model. This paper extends the same approach to two other important GARCH specifications GJR-GARCH and EGARCH. We provide the corresponding formulas and study their numerical performance. keywords: ...
متن کاملThe Comparison among ARIMA and hybrid ARIMA-GARCH Models in Forecasting the Exchange Rate of Iran
This paper attempts to compare the forecasting performance of the ARIMA model and hybrid ARMA-GARCH Models by using daily data of the Iran’s exchange rate against the U.S. Dollar (IRR/USD) for the period of 20 March 2014 to 20 June 2015. The period of 20 March 2014 to 19 April 2015 was used to build the model while remaining data were used to do out of sample forecasting and check the forecasti...
متن کاملEGARCH, GJR-GARCH, TGARCH, AVGARCH, NGARCH, IGARCH and APARCH Models for Pathogens at Marine Recreational Sites
The environmental literature lacks the use of volatility based models for environmental stochastic processes. To overcome this deficiency, we use EGARCH, IGARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, NGARCH, AVGARCH and APARCH models for functional relationships of the pathogen indicators time series for recreational activates at beaches. We use generalized error, Student’s t, exponential, normal and normal inver...
متن کاملThe Analysis of Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Stock Exchange Return with PANEL-GARCH Approach (Case Study: D8 Countries)
S tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. This study investigates the effect of exchange rate Volatility on the stock exchange Returns of D8 countries. It takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. At first we used Panel-GARCH model to estimate Exchange Rate Vo...
متن کاملthe analysis of the role of the speech acts theory in translating and dubbing hollywood films
از محوری ترین اثراتی که یک فیلم سینمایی ایجاد می کند دیالوگ هایی است که هنرپیش گان فیلم میگویند. به زعم یک فیلم ساز, یک شیوه متأثر نمودن مخاطب از اثر منظوره نیروی گفتارهای گوینده, مثل نیروی عاطفی, ترس آور, غم انگیز, هیجان انگیز و غیره, است. این مطالعه به بررسی این مسأله مبادرت کرده است که آیا نیروی فراگفتاری هنرپیش گان به مثابه ی اعمال گفتاری در پنج فیلم هالیوودی در نسخه های دوبله شده باز تولید...
15 صفحه اولذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Earthline Journal of Mathematical Sciences
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2581-8147']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.34198/ejms.11223.287302